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The Future of Iraq


Auteur :
Éditeur : The Middle East Institute Date & Lieu : 1997, Washington
Préface : Pages : 140
Traduction : ISBN : 0-916808-46-7
Langue : AnglaisFormat : 145x225 mm
Code FIKP : Liv. Eng. Cal. Fut. N° 3169Thème : Politique

Présentation
Table des Matières Introduction Identité PDF
The Future of Iraq

The Future of Iraq

John Calabrese

The Middle East Institute

“Until now, we have focused heavily on the US leadership role in enforcing sanctions, and we have been fixated on the present ruler of Iraq.... It is very welcome that the Middle East Institute has asked us to stretch our minds to consider the decades ahead.”

—Richard Murphy, Hasib J. Sabbagh Senior Fellow for Middle East Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations

“Iraq is not a small, insignificant country with which it is easy to deal. Its geopolitical importance, in terms of its oil resources, is very clear. So is its military potential and its impact on Gulf security as well as on that of the entire region. Iraq is also one of the most thorny foreign policy issues that the United States and the international community face.... Many people are dissatisfied with current US policy, but we have to consider the costs and risks of alternatives.”

—Phebe Marr, senior fellow, National Defense University


Table des Matières


Table of Contents

Foreword / 1
Andrew T. Parasiliti

Introduction / 4
John Calabrese

Iraqi Politics / 7
The Past and Present as Context for the Future
Adeed Dawisha

Repression, Conformity and Legitimacy / 17
Prospects for an Iraqi Social Contract
Isam Al-Khafaji

War and Sanctions / 31
Cost to Society and Toll on Development
Sarah Graham-Brown

Prospects for Iraq's Oil Industry / 43
Issam A. R. Al-Chalabi

Prospects for Iraq’s Economy / 54
Facing the New Reality
Sinan Al-Shabibi

The Battle for Iraq / 81
Giandomenico Picco

Iraq’s Regional Policies in the 1990s / 90
From Regional Superpower to “Superpauper”
Ahmad S. Hashim

The United States and Iraq / 107
Paul Wolfowitz

Towards a New Policy Framework / 114
Abbas S. Mehdi

Appendix:
Preserving Principle and Safeguarding Stability / 121
United States Policy towards Iraq
Madeleine K. Albright

The Future of Iraq / 127
Bruce O. Riedel

Contributor B iographies / 132

Bibliography / 134




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