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U.S. Policy Options for lraq


Auteurs : | | | |
Éditeur : Rand Corporation Date & Lieu : 2007,
Préface : Pages : 0
Traduction : ISBN : 978-0-8330-4168-5
Langue : AnglaisFormat : 210x295 mm
Code FIKP : Liv. Ang. 1531Thème : Politique

Présentation
Table des Matières Introduction Identité PDF
U.S. Policy Options for lraq

U.S. Policy Options for lraq

Olga Oliker
Keith Crane
Audra K. Grant
Terrence K. Kelly   
Andrew Rathmell
David Brannan

Rand


Iraq is the most pressing foreign and security policy issue that the United States faces today. Continued failure to make Iraq stable and secure threatens to disrupt the Middle East not by catalyzing the spread of democracy but by exporting instability and conflict. If violence continues, Iraqi neighbours will use the country as a theatre in which to pursue their own goals, including those at odds with Iraqi and U.S. interests. Iraq will remain a training ground for terrorist groups, threatening U.S. and allied security. Continued conflict in Iraq not only will remain extraordinarily costly in terms of U.S. lives and resources, but will also damage the credibility of the United States and the efficacy of U.S. forces. It also feeds perceptions around the world that the United States is engaged in a "war on Islam."
The U.S. government needs to consider alternative ...


Table des Matières


Contents


Preface / iii
Summary / ix
Acknowledgments / xix
Abbreviations / xxi

Chapter One
Introduction / 1
The Problem of Iraq / 1
The Situation Today / 2

Chapter two
Defining and Assessing Alternative Strategies for Iraq / 11
Employ Overwhelming Force / 11
Pick and Back, Winners / 14
Partition / 16
Leave / 18
Maintain Current Efforts / 19
From Strategy to Policy / 20

Chapter three
Political Suasion / 23
Maintain a National Unity Government / 23
Prevent a Kurdish Takeover of Kirkuk / 24
Oppose the Creation of New Regions / 25
Keep Oil Revenues in the Hands of the Central Government / 27
Engaging Iraq's Neighbours / 28

Chapter four
Security: Targeting Aid and Influence / 31
Get the Ministry of Interior Under Control / 31
Improve Policing / 36
Police Organization and Recruiting / 39
Law and Order / 40
Reduce Financial Flows to Militias and Other Illegal Groups / 41
Coalition Force Employment / 43
Balance Baghdad and the Rest of Iraq / 45
Public Information / 45

Chapter Five
How Economic Policies Can Help / 47
Liberalize Refined Oil Product Prices / 47
Improve the Operations of the Oil Ministry / 49
Increase Investment in Oil Production / 50
Restructure the Oil Ministry Along Commercial Lines / 50
Improve Oil-Sector Security / 52
Concentrate U.S. Grant Aid on the Security Sector and Improving Iraqi Government Operations / 53
Follow "Clear and Hold" Operations with Local Projects, Not Make work Job Programs / 53
Give the Iraqi Government Credit / 56

Chapter Six
Policy Priorities lf-and Only lf-Violence Declines / 57
Politics and Security / 57
U.S.-Iraq Relations / 58
Continued Security Assistance / 59
Offer Broad Amnesty / 60
Demobilization, Disarmament, and Reintegration / 61
Intelligence / 61
Economic Policies / 62
Improve the Operations of the Electric Power Ministry / 63
Improve Iraqi Welfare Programs / 64
End the Use of U.S. Grant Aid for Infrastructure Projects / 65

Chapter Seven
Next Steps If Violence Fails to Decline / 67
When Is It Time to Go Home? / 67
How Should We Leave? / 68
What Could be the Repercussions of 'Withdrawal? / 69
What Could the United States Do to Mitigate the Repercussions of Withdrawal? / 70
Withdraw Without Haste / 71
Reassure Friends and Allies / 71
Work with the United Nations ro Pass a Resolution Recognizing the Territorial Integrity of Iraq / 72
Help Refugees / 72
Do Not Get Excited About Oil / 73
Maintain Appropriate Relations with the Successor Regime / 73

References / 75




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